Strong economic data lift stocks to record highs

LONDON- World stocks hit record highs on Tuesday, supported by strong economic data from China and the United States, while currency and bond markets paused after a month of rapid gains in the dollar and Treasury yields.

Equities as measured by the 49-country spanning MSCI All Country World Index reached a record high as European stocks caught up with gains in Asia and Wall Street overnight in their first trading session since the Easter holiday.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index climbed to a record high of 436.47 points after the open in Europe and was up 0.8% at 1118 GMT. 

Profit-taking pushed Japan's Nikkei down 1% and dragged on the Shanghai Composite .

The S&P 500 closed Monday at a record high and futures dipped 0.2% on Tuesday. 

On the heels of a strong U.S. jobs report on Friday, March data showed services activity rising to a record high. China's services have also gathered steam with the sharpest increase in sales in three months. 

"We think investors should not fear entering the market at all-time highs," said Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.

"We recommend continuing to position for the reflation trade as the economic recovery gathers pace - data released Friday showed U.S. non-farm payrolls surged by 916,000 in March, the biggest gain since August. "

The yield on benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasuries fell to 1.6986%, while the U.S. dollar has mostly missed out on a big bounce from the strong data and held at $1.1860 per euro a day after posting its steepest drop since mid-March.

Elsewhere, Swiss lender Credit Suisse sought to draw a line under its exposure to the implosion of hedge fund Archegos Capital, announcing the debacle would cost it about $4.7 billion and two senior executives their jobs.

STEADY STATE

The steadying Treasury yields and dollar follow a charge higher over the first quarter, with 10-year yields rising 83 basis points, the biggest quarterly gain in a dozen years, and a the dollar index gaining 3.6%, the most since 2018.

"Bonds have settled down now," said Omkar Joshi, portfolio manager at Opal Capital Management in Sydney, after a hard and fast selloff. "I think markets can keep powering on from here."

Minutes from the March meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve, due on Wednesday, are the next focus for bond markets, although they will not address the most recent data surprises and markets have run far ahead of Fed projections for years of low rates.

Fed funds futures: have priced in a hike next year while eurodollar markets have it priced by December.

"What needs to be tested is how the Fed reinforces and reassures on its flexible average inflation target policy," said Vishnu Varathan, head economist at Mizuho Bank in Singapore. "The dollar's past few weeks of movement reflect markets moving ahead despite what the Fed has said."

Currencies were quiet through the European session, and hung on to small gains against the dollar. The Australian dollar traded at $0.7618 after the central bank held policy settings steady, as expected. 

The yen was softer at 110.48 per dollar, while sterling GBP= touched a two-and-a-half week high of $1.3919. 

The dollar's wobble helped oil prices recoup some losses suffered on Monday on worries a new wave of COVID-19 infections in Europe and India could curtail energy demand.

Brent crude futures rose 1.27% to $62.94 a barrel. U.S. crude climbed 0.8% to $59.44 a barrel. Gold tacked on 0.34% to $1,734 an ounce. 

 

Source: https://www.zawya.com/mena/en/markets/story/Strong_economic_data_lift_stocks_to_record_highs-TR20210406nL8N2LZ2VDX1/

 

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