Asia-Pacific’s renewable energy capacity set for 50% growth over five years, driven by solar

OSLO — Installed capacity of renewable energy in the Asia-Pacific region is set for a major boost in the next five years, to 754 gigawatts (GW) in 2025 from 497 GW this year, a Rystad Energy analysis shows.

The frontrunner in this growth will be solar energy, whose regional capacity will nearly double to 349 GW from 192 GW in 2020, surpassing even the installed capacity of well-established onshore wind energy.

Onshore wind’s installed capacity is also set to climb, to 308 GW from 243 GW in the next five years, while offshore wind is expected to jump to 51 GW from 34 GW currently. Lastly, storage, battery and hydrogen electrolyzer capacity is likely to expand to 45 GW from 28 GW.

“Renewable energy growth has led engineering, procurement, construction and installation (EPCI) service providers in the region and Asian fabrication yards to fast-track their energy transition plans to actively target low-carbon markets and tender for such contracts,“ said Lin Lin Goh, senior energy service research analyst at Rystad Energy.

Many national oil companies (NOCs) in the Asia-Pacific region are now following in the footsteps of their European counterparts and are starting their journey towards energy transition.

In Malaysia, Petronas has announced that it will grow its presence within renewables and recently invested in a solar photovoltaic system for the residential and small- to medium-sized enterprises sectors in Malaysia.

China’s three biggest NOCs — Petrochina, Sinopec and CNOOC — are also looking to diversify into wind and hydrogen power.

In Vietnam, PetroVietnam has announced an ambitious target of 100 megawatt (MW) renewable capacity by 2025 and 900 MW by 2035, which would make the country the most promising market for offshore wind in Southeast Asia.

Some significant offshore wind projects on the cards in the Asia-Pacific region, excluding China, are Yunlin, Changfang and Xidao in Taiwan, Thang Long in Vietnam and Incheon in South Korea.

Following the demand from their customer base, many traditional oilfield service companies in the region have also started diversifying their offerings to cater to the energy transition.

The most relevant sector for the EPCI companies to venture into within green energy is offshore wind construction and installation. Both oilfield and wind projects offshore have long project life cycles that require integrated project management on a massive scale, dealing with mammoth structures such as jackets, platforms and foundations.

EPCI companies, with a proven track record in oilfield services, have an edge when it comes to applying best practices and can leverage existing personnel competencies in every stage of an offshore wind construction and installation project, from design to operations.

Floating offshore wind may also be an avenue for EPCI companies to capitalize on their experience in deepwater production facility installations and will be important in countries such as Japan and South Korea.

Asian fabrication yards will also benefit from the surge in offshore wind projects globally. Although most Chinese fabrication yards serve domestic demand for wind power, due to cost competitiveness some are also on the hunt for market share in the international renewables market. — Rystad Energy



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